The odds of a strong hurricane impacting Florida have decreased, but a dangerous event can yet be completely ruled out. The strong consensus of the various computer forecasts is that the Caribbean tropical system – soon to be Tropical Storm Sara – will ...

There is a strong consensus among the various computer forecast models that the tropical disturbance near Jamaica will organize into a tropical depression before the end of the week and pretty quickly develop into Tropical Storm Sara.

Still, if the system maintains a core and decent structure during its time over land, there is plenty of warm water in the southern Gulf for it to reorganize and strengthen before it reaches Florida, if it heads that way. Seawater in the northern half of the Gulf is much cooler.

Tropical Depression Nineteen formed in the Caribbean early Thursday with the National Hurricane Center forecasting it to grow into Tropical Storm Sara. Long-term forecast models show it could

Consensus of the computer forecast models show that the robust Tropical Disturbance south of the Dominican Republic will develop and eventually organize into a tropical depression or tropical storm.

"Not only does this have a significant chance of becoming a hurricane, but it may become a major hurricane very quickly," hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said

Tropical Storm Sara formed in the Caribbean Sea on Thursday, but the National Hurricane Center says there's a chance it won't reach hurricane strength.